Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.046036 0.050093 0.054206 0.058680 0.063404 0.068236 0.073544
2025-01-19 0.040195 0.046196 0.052501 0.059593 0.067322 0.075464 0.084663
2025-01-26 0.034758 0.042046 0.049961 0.059133 0.069410 0.080509 0.093345
2025-02-02 0.030868 0.039145 0.048407 0.059427 0.072071 0.086019 0.102462
2025-02-09 0.028186 0.037308 0.047793 0.060560 0.075511 0.092300 0.112408
2025-02-16 0.026681 0.036668 0.048416 0.063004 0.080382 0.100181 0.124203
2025-02-23 0.023079 0.033174 0.045379 0.060882 0.079709 0.101514 0.128347
2025-03-02 0.020647 0.030930 0.043674 0.060191 0.080593 0.104554 0.134399
2025-03-09 0.018645 0.029069 0.042301 0.059774 0.081698 0.107778 0.140618
2025-03-16 0.017910 0.028814 0.042912 0.061801 0.085781 0.114581 0.151137
2025-03-23 0.016890 0.028086 0.042843 0.062909 0.088690 0.119950 0.159949
2025-03-30 0.015868 0.027274 0.042596 0.063735 0.091209 0.124829 0.168176
2025-04-06 0.014413 0.025777 0.041392 0.063301 0.092158 0.127841 0.174248
2025-04-13 0.013557 0.025091 0.041251 0.064249 0.094876 0.133074 0.183104
2025-04-20 0.012307 0.023725 0.040087 0.063758 0.095680 0.135882 0.188954
2025-04-27 0.011415 0.022836 0.039542 0.064063 0.097498 0.139965 0.196408
2025-05-04 0.010857 0.022430 0.039656 0.065254 0.100481 0.145537 0.205758
2025-05-11 0.010726 0.022699 0.040754 0.067826 0.105333 0.153549 0.218256
2025-05-18 0.009330 0.020775 0.038507 0.065591 0.103632 0.153036 0.219877
2025-05-25 0.008438 0.019625 0.037358 0.064864 0.103930 0.155089 0.224757
2025-06-01 0.007690 0.018661 0.036441 0.064425 0.104589 0.157593 0.230210
2025-06-08 0.007568 0.018816 0.037273 0.066559 0.108837 0.164866 0.241884
2025-06-15 0.007244 0.018574 0.037458 0.067725 0.111734 0.170362 0.251278